If I were to offer you a sequence of numbers – two, four, six, eight, 10 – and then say, “Carry on”, you would probably suggest – 12, 14, 16 and so on. That is the direction of travel. With numbers it is easy because it is logical. Human behaviour is not logical but over a period consistent behaviour can give a trend. It even works in politics and more so in economics. Let us consider the EU.
Last week our Prime Minister was treated with utter contempt by the entire collegium of the leaders of the other 27 member nations. Frankly, this was largely her own fault. If you persist in bending over you may get a kicked rear end and she certainly did.
In quite a long life watching politics I have never seen a leader of our country so determined to seek out and take the most blithering advice, nor appoint idiots specifically to give it to her. Out in the lead of this troupe of bumblers is her closest adviser Mr Olly Robbins, though as he is a diehard Remainer it may be that is what his civil service colleagues wish.
It appears that he is the principal architect of the knock-kneed Chequers plan which has consistently flown like a wingless suet pudding. Yet still she goes on with it, despite the contempt of Brussels and the EU27. But lest we are all tempted just to cut our wrists and get it all over with, let us glance at the direction of travel.